After a decade in opposition, exit polls on Saturday indicated that the Congress Party would unseat the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Haryana. In Jammu & Kashmir, where assembly elections were contested for the first time in ten years, pollsters have forecast a hung assembly.
In Haryana, where the majority mark is 46, Congress is predicted to win between 49 and 55 seats out of 90, according to exit polls issued following the single-phase vote on Saturday. However, it is predicted that the BJP would take 18–32 seats in the state.
The Haryana Assembly elections were previously won by the BJP in 2014 and 2019. Since 2018, Jammu and Kashmir, which had three rounds of elections on September 1, September 25, and October 1, has been governed by the central government.
On October 8, the votes from both elections will be tallied. Forecasts from exit polls are derived from voter feedback gathered following a poll.
Congress Comeback in Haryana?
Dainik Bhaskar has predicted that the Congress will win 44–54 seats in the 90-member Haryana Assembly, giving it a resounding majority. The BJP is predicted by the exit poll to win 19–29 seats. The majority score in Haryana is 46.
According to the Republic-Matrize survey, the Congress might secure 55–62 seats, while the BJP would secure 18–24 seats. According to this exit poll, the INLD may gain 3-6 seats and the JJP+ may win 0–3 seats. 2–5 seats are anticipated to be won by other parties.
According to Druv Research, the BJP has 27–32 seats and the Congress has 57–64. According to People’s Pulse, the Congress is expected to earn 55 seats, the BJP 26, JJP+ 0-1, INLD 2-3, and other parties 2–5.
With ten years in opposition, the Congress is hoping to return, and the ruling BJP is attempting to win the state for the third time in a row. With 31 seats gained by the Congress in the most recent election, the BJP came six seats shy of a majority. 10 JJP lawmakers and independent MLAs ultimately assisted the BJP in forming the government.
Even though exit polls are meant to gauge public opinion prior to the official results being declared, their accuracy has often been called into question.
A Hung Assembly in Jammu and Kashmir?
Based on exit polls conducted in Jammu & Kashmir, it appears that the coalition between the National Conference and the Congress may not secure a majority in the 90-member legislature, as a majority requires 46 seats.
The BJP is predicted to win 23–27 seats, while the NC–Congress combination is predicted to win 40–48 seats, according to the India Today–CVoter exit poll. The same poll suggests that the PDP may win six to twelve seats, while other parties may win six to eleven seats.
According to an exit poll by the local news station Gulistan, the BJP is expected to secure 28–30 seats in Jammu & Kashmir. The National Conference is predicted to win 28–30 seats, Congress to win 3–6 seats, and the PDP to win 5–7 seats, with other parties taking home 8–16 seats.
According to People’s Pulse, the Congress is expected to bag 13–15 seats, the BJP 23–27 seats, the National Conference 33–35 seats, the PDP 7–11 seats, and other parties 4-5 seats.
In a decade, Jammu and Kashmir is holding its first assembly election. Since the region’s special status under Article 370 was lost in August 2019, this election is also the first one held there.
With the late Mufti Mohammad Sayeed serving as Chief Minister, the PDP and BJP formed an uncommon coalition government in 2014. But Jammu and Kashmir came under central control in 2018 because this government did not hold office for very long. A Union Territory has been in charge of the area ever since.
